MRVL Puts

#shortputs
$MRVL STO 1/17 26 puts at .40

Skew??

Been wondering why some IVs and expected moves have been a little off compared to upcoming earnings dates. Totally forgot phase 1 of the China deal is scheduled to get signed on the 15th. That could be throwing things off a little since there’s still always a chance it’ll fall through last second.

Just guessing….

TSLA

#ShortPuts – I can’t believe I’m doing this on a big up day but here goes. Should allow for two rolls before earnings and guessing earnings premium will be jacked this quarter for a possible re-load.

Sold TSLA JAN 24 2020 425.0 Put @ 4.00

BYND

BTO February 21 85/105 call spread at 4.45, stock is breaking out on volume.

X 11 Call/ADMP+AGRX calls

Haven’t been doing any trading lately, both due to the holidays and I’ve been interviewing and preparing for a new job I just started yesterday!

I dipped my toe back in with a long one lot $X 11 Call Feb 21 expiration.  Underlying at $11.20 at time of trade.

Both of my $AGRX calls are up about $0.50 a piece, holding through their delayed approval date.

$ADMP calls are still down as well, but planning on holding those same as the Agile calls for now.

Can’t wait to start trading my 401k from my last position once the ACAT goes through!

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 8th 3185/3205-3260/3280 condors for .80. IV: 8.16%, SPX 3239.

TSLA

Didn’t post this trade the other day due to travels, current events, etc.

1/3/2020 – BTO $TSLA Jan 17 2020 420 Long Calls @34.75.
1/7/2020 – STC $TSLA Jan 17 2020 420 Long Calls – Trailing stop triggered @49.39.

Continuing to watch the ticker, I could have done better with more time and a stop that wasn’t as tight, but, I’ll take it.

#coveredcalls I could not find…

#coveredcalls
I could not find a hashtag for Jade Lizards, so I’ll post here.
Please let me know if another hashtag would be more appropriate.

BTC SQ jade liz for .74 (17 Jan 62/66/67)
Was STO on Dec 23 for 1.43
This mornings upgrade will likely push it above the 66C

#jadelizard, #jadelizards-sometimes

TSLA

This morning I bought the 460/480 call spread for 5.90 for the expiration on Friday.It seems like there is a short squeeze going on.

#earnings #shortstrangles STZ Sold Feb….

#earnings #shortstrangles STZ

Sold Feb. 21, 165/205 for 2.50. It is just outside the max down move, just inside the max up move, 65% IVR.

Thanks for the data Jeff.

SQ

#CoveredCalls – This one had been weak and looking weaker so was selling the covered calls pretty aggressively. Then out of the blue caught an upgrade this morning. Rolling now to get the calls back to breakeven on the stock. This roll should be a couple weeks before next earnings so re-evaluate then.

Rolled SQ JAN 10 2020 62.5 Calls to JAN 24 2020 63.5 Calls @ even

This has been a long term repair trade from getting the stock at 80ish in the August implosion…

ROKU

#BullPutSpreads – This should be a couple weeks before next earnings…

Sold ROKU FEB 7 2020 120.0/100.0 Bull Put Spreads @ 2.15

UBER

Sorry forgot to post this one.
12-26 BTO #Fuzzy Buy Jan 24 30 Call Sell BPS 30/29 Net cost $1.37 Up nicely at this time. Earnings near EOM

ROKU EXAS LABU Calls Rolled / LK Covered Call Short Put

#coveredcalls
$ROKU BTC 1/10 149 calls and STO 1/17 152.50 at .60 credit. But stock falling to 139.58. Might be foolish.
$EXAS BTC 1/10 97 call and STO 1/17 102 call for .30 debit. Stock at 101.72. Might be a good idea.
$LABU BTC 1/17 52 call and STO 1/24 55 call at $1 debit. Would gain $3 if called away. Stock at 55.40
#coveredcalls
$LK STO 1/17 36 call at 1.80

#shortputs
$LK STO 2/7 33 put at 2.85

BA BUCS

#bucs
$BA BTO 2/21 340/360 BUCS at 7.43. Zero hedge has vague rumors of Buffet accumulating stock. A more solid thesis I could not find.

AMAT

$AMAT STO Feb 21 57.50 P @1.52
Earnings Feb 12 and probably out by then, but may stay and would take assignment.

Sorry I was a little slow to post this, I was in with the stock at about 60.30

STZ earnings analysis

#Earnings $STZ reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 3, 2019 BO -6.05%
June 28, 2019 BO +4.63%
April 4, 2019 BO +6.54%
Jan. 9, 2019 BO -12.41% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 4, 2018 BO +5.38%
June 29, 2018 BO -5.79%
March 29, 2018 BO +5.31%
Jan. 5, 2018 BO -0.21%
Oct. 5, 2017 BO +5.41%
June 29, 2017 BO +9.75% Biggest UP
April 6, 2017 BO +9.60%
Jan. 5, 2017 BO +0.47%

Avg (+ or -) 5.96%
Bias 1.89%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 187.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 177.59 to 197.41
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 176.32 to 198.68
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (12.4%): 164.23 to 210.77
Based on UP max only (+9.8%): 205.78

Open to requests for other symbols.